Wednesday, February 4, 2009

How do you approach allocation decisions within my portfolio?

Allocation decisions are based on modern portfolio theory and optimization programs. Optimizations are based on the following estimates for asset classes: investment returns, standard deviations, and correlations. From these estimates we will construct hypothetical, optimal portfolios. Optimization (modern portfolio theory) is used to find the highest expected return for a certain level of volatility (the efficient frontier). It is important to note that optimization is only a tool. Predicting the future with accuracy is impossible. Therefore, the output of optimization is always adjusted based on diversification issues, investment experience, additional in-house research, prudence issues, client characteristics, tactical views and other fiduciary responsibilities.